
LONDON — Fears of a disappointing earnings season among European corporations have eased, with new forecasts showing stronger-than-expected results and a more optimistic outlook for the region’s corporate health.
According to the latest LSEG I/B/E/S data, European firms are now projected to post an average 4.3% increase in third-quarter earnings, significantly higher than the 0.4% growth forecast just a week earlier.
However, the picture for revenues remains more subdued. Analysts now expect a 0.9% decline, compared with a smaller 0.1% drop anticipated previously. This continues a recent trend—seen in five of the past six quarters—where companies have managed to grow profits even as sales weaken, largely by tightening costs and restructuring operations.
Cost Controls Keep Profits Intact
Many firms have turned to aggressive cost-cutting to maintain profitability as consumers rein in spending.
Anheuser-Busch InBev (ABI.BR), the world’s largest brewer, said efficiency measures helped it beat profit expectations despite a steeper-than-expected decline in sales volumes. Similarly, Campari (CPRI.MI), maker of Aperol, reported stronger-than-forecast earnings thanks to cost discipline.
Carlsberg missed slightly on third-quarter sales but emphasized ongoing austerity efforts.
“We’ve been adjusting, especially discretionary spending. We’ve gone very hard at travel, entertainment, conferences, and consultants,”
said CEO Jacob Aarup-Andersen in an interview with Reuters.
Meanwhile, Dutch retailer Ahold Delhaize (AD.AS), which owns the U.S.-based Food Lion chain, outperformed expectations, posting a quarterly profit of €933 million, well above analyst estimates of €866 million.
Luxury carmaker Ferrari also exceeded profit forecasts after raising its full-year guidance earlier in October.
Europe Lags Behind U.S. Performance
Despite the improving European picture, a growing gap has emerged between European and U.S. corporate results.
For the S&P 500, earnings are expected to rise 13.8%, with 83.2% of companies beating analyst estimates—the highest beat rate in four years. By contrast, only 55.3% of firms in the STOXX 600 have exceeded earnings expectations so far.
The variation across Europe is notable: companies in Poland and Ireland are forecast to post earnings growth of 65% and 28.3%, respectively, while Denmark and Norway are expected to see declines of 20.8% and 14.9%.


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